On March 19, 2025, the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) opted to maintain its policy interest rate, indicating a more uncertain economic outlook while suggesting the possibility of two interest rate cuts later this year.
Economic Growth Slows The FRB revised its projections, revealing expectations of slower economic growth for both this year and next, compared to forecasts made three months prior. The unemployment rate is anticipated to rise to 4.4% by year’s end. Additionally, inflation is expected to increase slightly, reaching 2.7% by December, up from the current 2.5%. Both figures surpass the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%.
Fed Chair Expects Rate Cuts This Year The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to keep interest rates within a range of 4.25% to 4.5% and will continue to reduce its balance sheet. Chair Jerome Powell noted that inflation is rising due in part to tariffs, which could delay anticipated rate cuts further into the year. However, the Fed’s projections suggest two rate decreases of 0.25% each in 2025.
In a statement released following the two-day meeting, the FRB acknowledged heightened uncertainty surrounding economic forecasts.
These predictions underscore the challenging position faced by the Fed. While rising inflation typically necessitates maintaining or increasing interest rates, a slowdown in growth and an uptick in unemployment generally call for rate cuts to stimulate borrowing and spending.
Alongside its decisions, the Fed updated its interest rate and economic forecasts through 2027 and reassessed its approach to reducing bond holdings.
US Markets Surge In response to the Fed’s decision to keep rates unchanged, US markets experienced a broad rally, with indices rising by over 1%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared by 384 points, the S&P 500 climbed by 1.08%, and the Nasdaq saw a 1.3% increase, driven by strong performance in tech stocks.
Gold Prices Continue to Soar Gold prices continued to reach record highs following the Fed’s decision, driven by moderate inflation and signs of economic slowdown. Investors purchased gold heavily, pushing prices up significantly and hitting an all-time high of $3,050 per ounce.
Conclusion The Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates has led to a surge in both the US stock market and gold prices. However, Chair Jerome Powell has suggested that two rate cuts are in prospect for the latter half of the year.









